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Roundup Of Machine Learning Forecasts And Market Estimates, 2018

  • Machine learning patents grew at a 34% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) between 2013 and 2017, the third-fastest growing category of all patents granted.
  • International Data Corporation (IDC) forecasts that spending on AI and ML will grow from $12B in 2017 to $57.6B by 2021.
  • Deloitte Global predicts the number of machine learning pilots and implementations will double in 2018 compared to 2017, and double again by 2020.

These and many other fascinating insights are from the latest series of machine learning market forecasts, market estimates, and projections. Machine learning’s potential impact across many of the world’s most data-prolific industries continues to fuel venture capital investment, private equity (PE) funding, mergers, and acquisitions all focused on winning the race of Intellectual Property (IP) and patents in this field. One of the fastest growing areas of machine learning IP is the development of custom chipsets. Deloitte Global is predicting up to 800K machine learning chips will be in use across global data centers this year. Enterprises are increasing their research, investment, and piloting of machine learning programs in 2018. And while the methodologies all vary across the many sources of forecasts, market estimates, and projections, all reflect how machine learning is improving the acuity and insights of companies on how to grow faster and more profitably. Key takeaways from the collection of machine learning market forecasts, market estimates and projections include the following:

  • Within the Business Intelligence (BI) & analytics market, Data Science platforms that support machine learning are predicted to grow at a 13% CAGR through 2021. Data Science platforms will outperform the broader BI & analytics market, which is predicted to grow at an 8% CAGR in the same period. Data Science platforms will grow in value from $3B in 2017 to $4.8B in 2021. Source: An Investors’ Guide to Artificial Intelligence, J.P. Morgan. November 27, 2017 (110 pp., PDF, no opt-in).

  • Machine learning patents grew at a 34% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) between 2013 and 2017, the third-fastest growing category of all patents granted. IBM, Microsoft, Google, LinkedIn, Facebook, Intel, and Fujitsu were the seven biggest ML patent producers in 2017. Source: IFI Claims Patent Services (Patent Analytics) 8 Fastest Growing Technologies SlideShare Presentation.

  • 61% of organizations most frequently picked Machine Learning / Artificial Intelligence as their company’s most significant data initiative for next year. Of those respondent organizations indicating they actively use Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI), 58% percent indicated they ran models in production. Source: 2018 Outlook: Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence, A Survey of 1,600+ Data Professionals (14 pp., PDF, no opt-in).

  • Tech market leaders including Amazon, Apple, Google, Tesla, and Microsoft are leading their industry sectors by a wide margin in machine learning (ML) and AI investment. Each is designing ML into future-generation products and using ML and AI to improve customer experiences and improve the efficiency of selling channels. Source: Will You Embrace AI Fast Enough? AT Kearney, January 2018.

  • Deloitte Global predicts the number of machine learning pilots and implementations will double in 2018 compared to 2017, and double again by 2020. Factors driving the increasing pace of ML pilots include more pervasive support of Application Program Interfaces (APIs), automating data science tasks, reducing the need for training data, accelerating training and greater insight into explaining results. Source: Deloitte Global Predictions 2018 Infographics.

  • 60% of organizations at varying stages of machine learning adoption, with nearly half (45%) saying the technology has led to more extensive data analysis & insights. 35% can complete faster data analysis and increased the speed of insight, delivering greater acuity to their organizations. 35% are also finding that machine learning is enhancing their R&D capabilities for next-generation products. Source: Google & MIT Technology Review study: Machine Learning: The New Proving Ground for Competitive Advantage (10 pp., PDF, no opt-in).

  • McKinsey estimates that total annual external investment in AI was between $8B to $12B in 2016, with machine learning attracting nearly 60% of that investment. McKinsey estimates that total annual external investment in AI was between $8B to $12B in 2016, with machine learning attracting nearly 60% of that investment. Robotics and speech recognition are two of the most popular investment areas. Investors are most favoring machine learning startups due to quickness code-based start-ups have at scaling up to include new features fast. Software-based machine learning startups are preferred over their more cost-intensive machine-based robotics counterparts that often don’t have their software counterparts do. As a result of these factors and more, Corporate M&A is soaring in this area. The following graphic illustrates the distribution of external investments by category from the study. Source: McKinsey Global Institute Study, Artificial Intelligence, The Next Digital Frontier (80 pp., PDF, free, no opt-in).

  • Deloitte Global is predicting machine learning chips used in data centers will grow from a 100K to 200K run rate in 2016 to 800K this year. At least 25% of these will be Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGA) and Application Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs). Deloitte found the Total Available Market (TAM) for Machine Learning (ML) Accelerator technologies could potentially reach $26B by 2020. Source: Deloitte Global Predictions 2018.

  • Amazon is relying on machine learning to improve customer experiences in key areas of their business including product recommendations, substitute product prediction, fraud detection, meta-data validation and knowledge acquisition. For additional details, please see the presentation, Machine Learning At Amazon, Amazon Web Services (47 pp., PDF no opt-in).

Sources of Market Data on Machine Learning:

2018 Outlook: Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence, A Survey of 1,600+ Data Professionals. MEMSQL. (14 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

Advice for applying Machine Learning, Andrew Ng, Stanford University. (30 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

An Executive’s Guide to Machine Learning, McKinsey Quarterly. June 2015

An Investors’ Guide to Artificial Intelligence, J.P. Morgan. November 27, 2017 (110 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

Artificial intelligence and machine learning in financial services Market developments and financial stability implications, Financial Stability Board. (45 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

Big Data and AI Strategies Machine Learning and Alternative Data Approach to Investing, J.P. Morgan. (280 pp., PDF. No opt-in).

Google & MIT Technology Review study: Machine Learning: The New Proving Ground for Competitive Advantage (10 pp., PDF, no opt-in).

Hitting the accelerator: the next generation of machine-learning chips, Deloitte. (6 pp., PDF, no opt-in).

How Do Machines Learn? Algorithms are the Key to Machine Learning. Booz Allen Hamilton. (Infographic)

IBM Predicts Demand For Data Scientists Will Soar 28% By 2020, Forbes. May 13, 2017

Machine Learning At Amazon, Amazon Web Services (47 pp., PDF no opt-in).

Machine Learning Evolution (infographic). PwC. April 17, 2017 Machine learning: things are getting intense. Deloitte (6 pp., PDF. No opt-in)

Machine Learning: The Power and Promise Of Computers That Learn By Example. The Royal Society’s Machine Learning Project (128 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

McKinsey Global Institute StudyArtificial Intelligence, The Next Digital Frontier (80 pp., PDF, free, no opt-in)

McKinsey’s State Of Machine Learning And AI, 2017, Forbes, July 9, 2017

Predictions 2017: Artificial Intelligence Will Drive The Insights Revolution. Forrester, November 2, 2016 (9 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

Risks And Rewards: Scenarios around the economic impact of machine learning, The Economist Intelligence Unit. (80 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

Smartening up with Artificial Intelligence (AI) – What’s in it for Germany and its Industrial Sector? Digital/McKinsey & Company. (52 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

So What Is Machine Learning Anyway?  Business Insider. Nov. 23, 2017

The 10 Most Innovative Companies In AI/Machine Learning 2017, Wired

The Business Impact and Use Cases for Artificial Intelligence. Gartner (28 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

The Build-Or-Buy Dilemma In AIBoston Consulting Group. January 4, 2018.

The Next Generation of Medicine: Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, TM Capital (25 pp., PDF, free, opt-in)

The Roadmap to Enterprise AI, Rage Networks Brief based on Gartner research. (17 pp., PDF, no opt-in)

Will You Embrace AI Fast Enough? AT Kearney. January 2018

 

Machine Learning’s Greatest Potential Is Driving Revenue In The Enterprise

  • Enterprise investments in machine learning will nearly double over the next three years, reaching 64% adoption by 2020.
  • International Data Corporation (IDC) is forecasting spending on artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning will grow from $8B in 2016 to $47B by 2020.
  • 89% of CIOs are either planning to use or are using machine learning in their organizations today.
  • 53% of CIOs say machine learning is one of their core priorities as their role expands from traditional IT operations management to business strategists.
  • CIOs are struggling to find the skills they need to build their machine learning models today, especially in financial services.

These and many other insights are from the recently published study, Global CIO Point of View. The entire report is downloadable here (PDF, 24 pp., no opt-in). ServiceNow and Oxford Economics collaborated on this survey of 500 CIOs in 11 countries on three continents, spanning 25 industries. In addition to the CIO interviews, leading experts in machine learning and its impact on enterprise performance contributed to the study. For additional details on the methodology, please see page 4 of the study and an online description of the CIO Survey Methodology here.

Digital transformation is a cornerstone of machine learning adoption. 72% of CIOs have responsibility for digital transformation initiatives that drive machine learning adoption. The survey found that the greater the level of digital transformation success, the more likely machine learning-based programs and strategies would succeed. IDC predicts that 40% of digital transformation initiatives will be supported by machine learning and artificial intelligence by 2019.

Key takeaways from the study include the following:

  • 90% of CIOs championing machine learning in their organizations today expect improved decision support that drives greater topline revenue growth. CIOs who are early adopters are most likely to pilot, evaluate and integrate machine learning into their enterprises when there is a clear connection to driving business results. Many CIO compensation plans now include business growth and revenue goals, making the revenue potential of new technologies a high priority.
  • 89% of CIOs are either planning to use or using machine learning in their organizations today. The majority, 40%, are in the research and planning phases of deployment, with an additional 26% piloting machine learning. 20% are using machine learning in some areas of their business, and 3% have successfully deployed enterprise-wide. The following graphic shows the percentage of respondents by stage of their machine learning journey.

  • Machine learning is a key supporting technology leading the majority Finance, Sales & Marketing, and Operations Management decisions today. Human intervention is still required across the spectrum of decision-making areas including Security Operations, Customer Management, Call Center Management, Operations Management, Finance and Sales & Marketing. The study predicts that by 2020, machine learning apps will have automated 70% of Security Operations queries and 30% of Customer Management ones.

  • Automation of repetitive tasks (68%), making complex decisions (54%) and recognizing data patterns (40%) are the top three most important capabilities CIOs of machine learning CIOs are most interested in.  Establishing links between events and supervised learning (both 32%), making predictions (31%) and assisting in making basic decisions (18%) are additional capabilities CIOs are looking for machine learning to accelerate. In financial services, machine learning apps are reviewing loan documents, sorting applications to broad parameters, and approving loans faster than had been possible before.

  • Machine learning adoption and confidence by CIOs varies by region, with North America in the lead (72%) followed by Asia-Pacific (61%). Just over half of European CIOs (58%) expect value from machine learning and decision automation to their company’s overall strategy. North American CIOs are more likely than others to expect value from machine learning and decision automation across a range of business areas, including overall strategy (72%, vs. 61% in Asia Pacific and 58% in Europe). North American CIOs also expect greater results from sales and marketing (63%, vs. 47% Asia-Pacific and 38% in Europe); procurement (50%, vs. 34% in Asia-Pacific and 34% in Europe); and product development (48%, vs. 29% in Asia-Pacific and 29% in Europe).
  • CIOs challenging the status quo of their organization’s analytics direction are more likely to rely on roadmaps for defining and selling their vision of machine learning’s revenue contributions. More than 70% of early adopter CIOs have developed a roadmap for future business process changes compared with just 33% of average CIOs. Of the CIOs and senior management teams in financial services, the majority are looking at how machine learning can increase customer satisfaction, lifetime customer value, improving revenue growth. 53% of CIOs from our survey say machine learning is one of their core priorities as their role expands from traditional IT operations to business-wide strategy.

Sources: CIOs Cutting Through the Hype and Delivering Real Value from Machine Learning, Survey Shows

Data Scientist Is The Best Job In America According Glassdoor

  • Data Scientist has been named the best job in America for three years running, with a median base salary of $110,000 and 4,524 job openings.
  • DevOps Engineer is the second-best job in 2018, paying a median base salary of $105,000 and 3,369 job openings.
  • There are 29,187 Software Engineering jobs available today, making this job the most popular regarding Glassdoor postings according to the study.

These and many other fascinating insights are from Glassdoor’s 50 Best Jobs In America For 2018. The Glassdoor Report is viewable online here. Glassdoor’s annual report highlights the 50 best jobs based on each job’s overall Glassdoor Job Score.The Glassdoor Job Score is determined by weighing three key factors equally: earning potential based on median annual base salary, job satisfaction rating, and the number of job openings. Glassdoor’s 2018 report lists jobs that excel across all three dimensions of their Job Score metric. For an excellent overview of the study by Karsten Strauss of Forbes, please see his post, The Best Jobs To Apply For In 2018.

LinkedIn’s 2017 U.S. Emerging Jobs Report found that there are 9.8 times more Machine Learning Engineers working today than five years ago with 1,829 open positions listed on their site as of last month. Data science and machine learning are generating more jobs than candidates right now, making these two areas the fastest growing tech employment areas today.

Key takeaways from the study include the following:

  • Six analytics and data science jobs are included in Glassdoor’s 50 best jobs In America for 2018. These include Data Scientist, Analytics Manager, Database Administrator, Data Engineer, Data Analyst and Business Intelligence Developer. The complete list of the top 50 jobs is provided below with the analytics and data science jobs highlighted along with software engineering, which has a record 29,817 open jobs today:

  • Median base salary of the 50 best jobs in America is $91,000 with the average salary of the six analytics and data science jobs being $94,167.
  • Across all six analytics and data science jobs there are 16,702 openings as of today according to Glassdoor.
  • Tech jobs make up 20 of Glassdoor’s 50 Best Jobs in America for 2018, up from 14 jobs in 2017.

Source: Glassdoor Reveals the 50 Best Jobs in America for 2018

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